Horse IQ
Viewing trainers and jockeys
Thu 06 Aug 2026
Historical qualifiers use settled main-shortlist selections; every ride shown is from this date's racecards.
Previous day: Wed 05 Aug 2026Thu 06 Aug 2026

Trainers & Jockeys

Full settled main-shortlist history. Minimum 10 selections; qualifies with strike rate above 20% or GBP 1 level-stake profit above GBP 0. Every ride today is shown for each qualifier.

Threshold metrics

Best Trainers

Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero | Flat Turf

Strike rate + profit
17 selections4 winners23.53% SR+GBP 14.00 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 10.0%57 runners / 8 winnersROI +19.8% | delta +12.6pts
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 20.0%21 runners / 4 winnersROI +25.0% | delta +17.8pts
MonthIdeal threshold >= 17.5%22 runners / 5 winnersROI +25.0% | delta +17.8pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
18:41
Southwell (AW)Free Race Replays On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (B/C/D) (EBF Qual') (GBB/GBBPlus)
VineryOdds 7/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Negative historic lean
0 positive6 negative0 neutral
Class: 25.0% SR / -14.2% ROICourse: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROICourse + code: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / -11.1% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m | Flat AW
N 56W 1425.0% SRGBP -6.19 P/L-11.1% ROIA/E 1.03DD 11.60uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat AW
N 120W 3025.0% SRGBP -17.08 P/L-14.2% ROIA/E 0.88DD 34.02uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat AW
N 17W 317.6% SRGBP -6.90 P/L-40.6% ROIA/E 0.79DD 8.40uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat AW
N 35W 822.9% SRGBP -7.30 P/L-20.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 12.30uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Simon & Ed Crisford | Flat Turf

Strike rate + profit
14 selections4 winners28.57% SR+GBP 6.25 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 22.5%14 runners / 3 winnersROI +50.0% | delta +81.7pts
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 22.5%12 runners / 3 winnersROI +35.0% | delta +66.7pts
Race typeIdeal threshold >= 20.0%23 runners / 8 winnersROI +19.4% | delta +51.1pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
20:26
Southwell (AW)Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Spinning WheelOdds 6/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive7 negative1 neutral
Course: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROICourse + code: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROIDistance: 30.4% SR / -1.8% ROIClass: 25.0% SR / +25.9% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 23W 730.4% SRGBP -0.41 P/L-1.8% ROIA/E 1.01DD 13.20uusable sample
Neutral evidenceTrainer
Simon & Ed Crisford | Flat AW
N 6W 233.3% SRGBP -0.65 P/L-10.8% ROIA/E 1.24DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Oisin Orr | Flat AW
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 2 | Flat AW
N 8W 225.0% SR+GBP 2.07 P/L+25.9% ROIA/E 1.00DD 4.43uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP 0.00 P/L0.0% ROIA/E 1.26DD 4.50uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
Simon & Ed Crisford | Flat AW
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 2 | Flat AW
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + code
Simon & Ed Crisford | Flat AW
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

John & Thady Gosden | Flat Turf

Strike rate + profit
57 selections22 winners38.60% SR+GBP 5.59 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 25.0%21 runners / 7 winnersROI +54.4% | delta +87.8pts
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 22.5%66 runners / 20 winnersROI +4.9% | delta +38.3pts
Race typeIdeal threshold >= 22.5%54 runners / 22 winnersROI +60.9% | delta +94.3pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
18:48
SandownHwfa Williams - Founder Of Sandown Park Handicap
InterstateOdds 8/11Main shortlistTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
5 positive5 negative1 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROIDistance: 25.9% SR / -15.5% ROITrainer: 46.7% SR / +55.8% ROICourse: 11.8% SR / -66.2% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m2f | Flat Turf
N 54W 1425.9% SRGBP -8.37 P/L-15.5% ROIA/E 0.93DD 25.57uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
John & Thady Gosden | Flat Turf
N 30W 1446.7% SR+GBP 16.75 P/L+55.8% ROIA/E 1.41DD 8.40uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + distance
1m2f | Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP -0.25 P/L-6.2% ROIA/E 2.12DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer
John & Thady Gosden | Flat Turf
N 3W 133.3% SR+GBP 0.75 P/L+25.0% ROIA/E 2.04DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
John & Thady Gosden | 1m2f | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 1.75 P/L+87.5% ROIA/E 2.60DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 7W 00.0% SRGBP -7.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 7.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + class
John & Thady Gosden | Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + code
John & Thady Gosden | Flat Turf
N 3W 133.3% SR+GBP 0.75 P/L+25.0% ROIA/E 2.04DD 2.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
20:26
Southwell (AW)Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Port Of LondonOdds 9/2All ridesThreshold: Distance
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
3 positive10 negative0 neutral
Course: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROICourse + code: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROITrainer: 37.5% SR / +65.5% ROIDistance: 30.4% SR / -1.8% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 23W 730.4% SRGBP -0.41 P/L-1.8% ROIA/E 1.01DD 13.20uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
John & Thady Gosden | Flat AW
N 24W 937.5% SR+GBP 15.73 P/L+65.5% ROIA/E 0.99DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Robert Havlin | Flat AW
N 14W 428.6% SRGBP -1.08 P/L-7.7% ROIA/E 0.73DD 4.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 2 | Flat AW
N 8W 225.0% SR+GBP 2.07 P/L+25.9% ROIA/E 1.00DD 4.43uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP 0.00 P/L0.0% ROIA/E 1.26DD 4.50uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
John & Thady Gosden | Flat AW
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -0.50 P/L-10.0% ROIA/E 0.50DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
John & Thady Gosden | 1m3f | Flat AW
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 2 | Flat AW
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Robert Havlin | Flat AW
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + jockey
John & Thady Gosden | Robert Havlin | Flat AW
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + code
John & Thady Gosden | Flat AW
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -0.50 P/L-10.0% ROIA/E 0.50DD 3.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Henry De Bromhead | Flat Turf

Profit
23 selections4 winners17.39% SR+GBP 1.80 P/L
16:50
LeopardstownIrish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden
Ryano BhinoOdds 33/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
3 positive6 negative0 neutral
Class: 19.7% SR / -45.0% ROIDistance: 20.3% SR / -37.1% ROICourse: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROICourse + code: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 153W 3120.3% SRGBP -56.80 P/L-37.1% ROIA/E 0.81DD 57.80uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Henry De Bromhead | Flat Turf
N 23W 417.4% SR+GBP 1.80 P/L+7.8% ROIA/E 0.87DD 8.20uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 32W 928.1% SR+GBP 0.47 P/L+1.5% ROIA/E 1.00DD 12.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
unknown | Flat Turf
N 208W 4119.7% SRGBP -93.57 P/L-45.0% ROIA/E 0.69DD 94.97uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP -1.57 P/L-19.6% ROIA/E 0.90DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
unknown | Flat Turf
N 19W 15.3% SRGBP -15.00 P/L-79.0% ROIA/E 0.27DD 15.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 6W 233.3% SR+GBP 1.08 P/L+18.1% ROIA/E 1.16DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
17:25
LeopardstownIrish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
NemorinoOdds 14/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
4 positive5 negative0 neutral
Class: 19.7% SR / -45.0% ROICourse: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROICourse + code: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROIDistance: 33.3% SR / +44.3% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m1f | Flat Turf
N 36W 1233.3% SR+GBP 15.93 P/L+44.3% ROIA/E 1.14DD 10.17uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Henry De Bromhead | Flat Turf
N 23W 417.4% SR+GBP 1.80 P/L+7.8% ROIA/E 0.87DD 8.20uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 32W 928.1% SR+GBP 0.47 P/L+1.5% ROIA/E 1.00DD 12.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
unknown | Flat Turf
N 208W 4119.7% SRGBP -93.57 P/L-45.0% ROIA/E 0.69DD 94.97uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m1f | Flat Turf
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
unknown | Flat Turf
N 19W 15.3% SRGBP -15.00 P/L-79.0% ROIA/E 0.27DD 15.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 6W 233.3% SR+GBP 1.08 P/L+18.1% ROIA/E 1.16DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:35
LeopardstownBallyroan Stakes (Group 3)
AscendingOdds 28/1All ridesTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
4 positive3 negative2 neutral
Class: 44.7% SR / +35.5% ROICourse: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROICourse + code: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROIJockey: 41.7% SR / +61.1% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 37W 1335.1% SRGBP -1.59 P/L-4.3% ROIA/E 1.10DD 7.71uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
Henry De Bromhead | Flat Turf
N 5W 00.0% SRGBP -5.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 5.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceJockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 12W 541.7% SR+GBP 7.33 P/L+61.1% ROIA/E 1.57DD 5.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 85W 3844.7% SR+GBP 30.22 P/L+35.5% ROIA/E 1.30DD 9.00uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + distance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SRGBP -0.75 P/L-37.5% ROIA/E 1.08DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 5W 480.0% SR+GBP 4.56 P/L+91.1% ROIA/E 1.64DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SR+GBP 3.08 P/L+77.1% ROIA/E 1.86DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
19:45
LeopardstownRenault Ireland Handicap
StepdanceOdds 12/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive5 negative0 neutral
Class: 19.7% SR / -45.0% ROICourse: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROICourse + code: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROIDistance: 33.3% SR / +44.3% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m1f | Flat Turf
N 36W 1233.3% SR+GBP 15.93 P/L+44.3% ROIA/E 1.14DD 10.17uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Henry De Bromhead | Flat Turf
N 23W 417.4% SR+GBP 1.80 P/L+7.8% ROIA/E 0.87DD 8.20uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
unknown | Flat Turf
N 208W 4119.7% SRGBP -93.57 P/L-45.0% ROIA/E 0.69DD 94.97uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m1f | Flat Turf
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
unknown | Flat Turf
N 19W 15.3% SRGBP -15.00 P/L-79.0% ROIA/E 0.27DD 15.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
20:20
LeopardstownFegentri World Championship (Q.R.) Handicap
ChutzpalOdds 7/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
1 positive5 negative0 neutral
Class: 19.7% SR / -45.0% ROICourse: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROICourse + code: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROITrainer: 17.4% SR / +7.8% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m7f | Flat Turf
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Henry De Bromhead | Flat Turf
N 23W 417.4% SR+GBP 1.80 P/L+7.8% ROIA/E 0.87DD 8.20uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
unknown | Flat Turf
N 208W 4119.7% SRGBP -93.57 P/L-45.0% ROIA/E 0.69DD 94.97uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
unknown | Flat Turf
N 19W 15.3% SRGBP -15.00 P/L-79.0% ROIA/E 0.27DD 15.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Gordon Elliott | Flat Turf

Strike rate + profit
14 selections4 winners28.57% SR+GBP 0.98 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 22.5%33 runners / 6 winnersROI +114.7% | delta +117.2pts
Race typeIdeal threshold >= 17.5%93 runners / 14 winnersROI +93.7% | delta +96.2pts
MonthIdeal threshold >= 15.0%50 runners / 11 winnersROI +13.2% | delta +15.7pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
16:40
SligoWestcare Home Care Claiming Hurdle
HowdoyalikeherhomeOdds 7/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
1 positive1 negative0 neutral
Course: 50.0% SR / +75.2% ROICourse + code: 0.0% SR / -100.0% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Sligo
N 6W 350.0% SR+GBP 4.51 P/L+75.2% ROIA/E 1.34DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Hurdle
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
16:40
SligoWestcare Home Care Claiming Hurdle
RaydamannOdds 9/4All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
1 positive1 negative0 neutral
Course: 50.0% SR / +75.2% ROICourse + code: 0.0% SR / -100.0% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Sligo
N 6W 350.0% SR+GBP 4.51 P/L+75.2% ROIA/E 1.34DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Hurdle
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
16:40
SligoWestcare Home Care Claiming Hurdle
Truckers CruisingOdds 10/1All ridesTargeted candidate
Race-specific trends unavailable
Racecard
17:15
SligoMartin Reilly Hyundai Mares Maiden Hurdle
My Elusive MateOdds unavailableAll ridesTargeted candidateThreshold: Race type
Race-specific trends unavailable
Racecard
17:45
SligoKilcawley Construction Rated Novice Hurdle
Manoir De MirandeOdds 2/1All ridesThreshold: Race type
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
1 positive1 negative0 neutral
Course: 50.0% SR / +75.2% ROICourse + code: 0.0% SR / -100.0% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Sligo
N 6W 350.0% SR+GBP 4.51 P/L+75.2% ROIA/E 1.34DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Hurdle
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:55
SligoMulhern Leonard Chartered Accountants Maiden Hurdle
FuuslandOdds 14/1All ridesThreshold: Race type
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
1 positive1 negative0 neutral
Course: 50.0% SR / +75.2% ROICourse + code: 0.0% SR / -100.0% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Sligo
N 6W 350.0% SR+GBP 4.51 P/L+75.2% ROIA/E 1.34DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Hurdle
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Roger Varian | Flat Turf

Strike rate + profit
16 selections6 winners37.50% SR+GBP 0.15 P/L
20:26
Southwell (AW)Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
UltrasoulOdds 10/3All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
4 positive4 negative2 neutral
Course: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROICourse + code: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROIDistance: 30.4% SR / -1.8% ROITrainer: 38.5% SR / +9.4% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 23W 730.4% SRGBP -0.41 P/L-1.8% ROIA/E 1.01DD 13.20uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Roger Varian | Flat AW
N 13W 538.5% SR+GBP 1.22 P/L+9.4% ROIA/E 1.43DD 3.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 2 | Flat AW
N 8W 225.0% SR+GBP 2.07 P/L+25.9% ROIA/E 1.00DD 4.43uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP 0.00 P/L0.0% ROIA/E 1.26DD 4.50uthin sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + trainer
Roger Varian | Flat AW
N 5W 240.0% SRGBP -1.40 P/L-28.0% ROIA/E 1.22DD 3.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
Roger Varian | 1m3f | Flat AW
N 1W 1100.0% SR+GBP 1.50 P/L+150.0% ROIA/E 2.50DD 0.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 2 | Flat AW
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + trainer + code
Roger Varian | Flat AW
N 5W 240.0% SRGBP -1.40 P/L-28.0% ROIA/E 1.22DD 3.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Ed Walker | Flat Turf

Strike rate
13 selections3 winners23.08% SRGBP -0.50 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 20.0%23 runners / 7 winnersROI +157.9% | delta +105.4pts
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 17.5%17 runners / 4 winnersROI +121.9% | delta +69.3pts
MonthIdeal threshold >= 10.0%155 runners / 28 winnersROI +60.6% | delta +8.1pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
17:38
SandownBritish Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
Pulse Of FireOdds 10/1All ridesThreshold: Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive5 negative1 neutral
Class: 28.3% SR / +10.0% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / +6.3% ROICourse: 16.1% SR / -44.0% ROICourse + code: 14.3% SR / -51.3% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 31W 516.1% SRGBP -13.62 P/L-44.0% ROIA/E 0.74DD 14.62uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
5f | Flat Turf
N 92W 2325.0% SR+GBP 5.77 P/L+6.3% ROIA/E 1.03DD 18.00uusable sample
Neutral evidenceTrainer
Ed Walker | Flat Turf
N 13W 323.1% SRGBP -0.50 P/L-3.9% ROIA/E 1.08DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Kieran Shoemark | Flat Turf
N 11W 218.2% SRGBP -6.00 P/L-54.5% ROIA/E 0.81DD 6.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 473W 13428.3% SR+GBP 47.47 P/L+10.0% ROIA/E 1.06DD 42.74uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
5f | Flat Turf
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -2.12 P/L-42.5% ROIA/E 0.85DD 4.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 9W 00.0% SRGBP -9.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 9.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 28W 414.3% SRGBP -14.38 P/L-51.3% ROIA/E 0.64DD 15.38uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
19:23
SandownBetMGM 80s Day Saturday 29 August Handicap
Thursday GirlOdds 4/1All ridesTargeted candidateThreshold: Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
3 positive5 negative0 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROIDistance: 37.7% SR / +32.2% ROICourse: 11.8% SR / -66.2% ROICourse + code: 11.8% SR / -66.2% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
7f | Flat Turf
N 61W 2337.7% SR+GBP 19.62 P/L+32.2% ROIA/E 1.26DD 6.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Ed Walker | Flat Turf
N 8W 225.0% SR+GBP 1.00 P/L+12.5% ROIA/E 0.99DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Kieran Shoemark | Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP -2.50 P/L-62.5% ROIA/E 0.75DD 2.50uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
7f | Flat Turf
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 7W 00.0% SRGBP -7.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 7.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:06
Southwell (AW)Simon Davis Big 60th Birthday Bash Fillies' Handicap
HauteluceOdds 9/2All ridesThreshold: Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive6 negative0 neutral
Course: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROICourse + code: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROIClass: 23.2% SR / +1.8% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / -11.1% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m | Flat AW
N 56W 1425.0% SRGBP -6.19 P/L-11.1% ROIA/E 1.03DD 11.60uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Ashley Lewis | Flat AW
N 3W 133.3% SR+GBP 0.75 P/L+25.0% ROIA/E 1.39DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 5 | Flat AW
N 69W 1623.2% SR+GBP 1.24 P/L+1.8% ROIA/E 1.10DD 21.38uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat AW
N 17W 317.6% SRGBP -6.90 P/L-40.6% ROIA/E 0.79DD 8.40uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 5 | Flat AW
N 22W 418.2% SRGBP -1.88 P/L-8.5% ROIA/E 0.90DD 12.38uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Ashley Lewis | Flat AW
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Fergal OBrien | Flat Turf

Strike rate
23 selections5 winners21.74% SRGBP -4.20 P/L
17:00
SandownCorinthian Amateur Jockeys' Handicap
DrumstickOdds 9/2All ridesTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive4 negative1 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROIDistance: 25.9% SR / -15.5% ROICourse: 11.8% SR / -66.2% ROICourse + code: 11.8% SR / -66.2% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m2f | Flat Turf
N 54W 1425.9% SRGBP -8.37 P/L-15.5% ROIA/E 0.93DD 25.57uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Fergal OBrien | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 7.00 P/L+350.0% ROIA/E 6.87DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + distance
1m2f | Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP -0.25 P/L-6.2% ROIA/E 2.12DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 7W 00.0% SRGBP -7.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 7.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Edward Bethell | Flat Turf

Strike rate
57 selections12 winners21.05% SRGBP -5.33 P/L
18:06
Southwell (AW)Simon Davis Big 60th Birthday Bash Fillies' Handicap
ZarincaOdds 10/1Main shortlistTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
4 positive3 negative0 neutral
Class: 46.1% SR / +62.7% ROICourse: 18.2% SR / -9.1% ROICourse + code: 18.2% SR / -9.1% ROIDistance: 33.3% SR / +26.8% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 11W 218.2% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-9.1% ROIA/E 0.85DD 6.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m | Flat AW
N 9W 333.3% SR+GBP 2.41 P/L+26.8% ROIA/E 1.20DD 4.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Edward Bethell | Flat AW
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L+25.0% ROIA/E 2.04DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 5 | Flat AW
N 13W 646.1% SR+GBP 8.15 P/L+62.7% ROIA/E 1.37DD 3.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat AW
N 4W 125.0% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L+12.5% ROIA/E 1.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 5 | Flat AW
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 11W 218.2% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-9.1% ROIA/E 0.85DD 6.00uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

William Haggas | Flat Turf

Strike rate
132 selections34 winners25.76% SRGBP -6.88 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 35.0%14 runners / 5 winnersROI +137.5% | delta +132.2pts
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 22.5%110 runners / 31 winnersROI +76.1% | delta +70.8pts
Race typeIdeal threshold >= 25.0%29 runners / 12 winnersROI +114.7% | delta +109.4pts
MonthIdeal threshold >= 22.5%98 runners / 20 winnersROI +38.5% | delta +33.2pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
15:13
BrightonJenningsBet Ladies Day Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)
RegalismOdds 9/4All ridesThreshold: Course, Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
1 positive7 negative0 neutral
Class: 28.3% SR / +10.0% ROIDistance: 25.5% SR / -15.9% ROITrainer: 25.8% SR / -5.2% ROICourse: 0.0% SR / -100.0% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Brighton
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceDistance
7f | Flat Turf
N 153W 3925.5% SRGBP -24.40 P/L-15.9% ROIA/E 0.95DD 37.30uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 132W 3425.8% SRGBP -6.88 P/L-5.2% ROIA/E 0.99DD 24.49uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Harry Burns | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 473W 13428.3% SR+GBP 47.47 P/L+10.0% ROIA/E 1.06DD 42.74uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
7f | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
19:05
ChepstowHappy Birthday Colin Spencer Handicap (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier)
WindbreakerOdds unavailableMain shortlistTargeted candidateThreshold: Course, Distance, Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
6 positive2 negative2 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROITrainer: 34.6% SR / +17.2% ROICourse: 25.0% SR / -59.6% ROICourse + code: 25.0% SR / -59.6% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Chepstow
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP -2.38 P/L-59.6% ROIA/E 0.88DD 3.00uthin sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 80W 2328.8% SRGBP -11.85 P/L-14.8% ROIA/E 1.05DD 15.22uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 81W 2834.6% SR+GBP 13.93 P/L+17.2% ROIA/E 1.23DD 14.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Harry Davies | Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L+12.5% ROIA/E 1.15DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 1W 1100.0% SR+GBP 0.62 P/L+61.5% ROIA/E 1.62DD 0.00uthin sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SRGBP -0.38 P/L-19.2% ROIA/E 1.18DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + class
William Haggas | Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 1W 1100.0% SR+GBP 0.62 P/L+61.5% ROIA/E 1.62DD 0.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP -2.38 P/L-59.6% ROIA/E 0.88DD 3.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + code
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 1W 1100.0% SR+GBP 0.62 P/L+61.5% ROIA/E 1.62DD 0.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:00
LeopardstownBahrain Turf Club Desmond Stakes (Group 3)
Needle MatchOdds 9/2All ridesThreshold: Course, Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive6 negative0 neutral
Class: 27.3% SR / +18.3% ROIDistance: 20.3% SR / -37.1% ROITrainer: 25.8% SR / -5.2% ROIJockey: 20.8% SR / -11.2% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 153W 3120.3% SRGBP -56.80 P/L-37.1% ROIA/E 0.81DD 57.80uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 132W 3425.8% SRGBP -6.88 P/L-5.2% ROIA/E 0.99DD 24.49uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Tom Marquand | Flat Turf
N 72W 1520.8% SRGBP -8.10 P/L-11.2% ROIA/E 0.84DD 21.10uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 242W 6627.3% SR+GBP 44.36 P/L+18.3% ROIA/E 1.07DD 30.50uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP -1.57 P/L-19.6% ROIA/E 0.90DD 3.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 7.82 P/L+37.2% ROIA/E 1.18DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
15:30
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Woodbridge EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C & D) (EBF Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Fast PerformerOdds unavailableAll ridesTargeted candidateThreshold: Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
12 positive1 negative0 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROITrainer: 34.6% SR / +17.2% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / -17.9% ROIJockey: 48.0% SR / +38.0% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
6f | Flat Turf
N 60W 1525.0% SRGBP -10.74 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.97DD 18.11uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 81W 2834.6% SR+GBP 13.93 P/L+17.2% ROIA/E 1.23DD 14.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf
N 25W 1248.0% SR+GBP 9.49 P/L+38.0% ROIA/E 1.50DD 5.28uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
6f | Flat Turf
N 3W 133.3% SR+GBP 1.33 P/L+44.4% ROIA/E 1.13DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 3W 266.7% SR+GBP 9.00 P/L+300.0% ROIA/E 2.29DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + class
William Haggas | Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + jockey
William Haggas | Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + code
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Andrew Balding | Flat Turf

Strike rate
34 selections10 winners29.41% SRGBP -7.57 P/L
14:20
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank East Anglia Apprentice Handicap
Stormy MusicOdds 7/2All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive4 negative0 neutral
Class: 21.4% SR / -16.6% ROIDistance: 20.3% SR / -37.1% ROITrainer: 29.4% SR / -22.3% ROICourse: 38.1% SR / +68.7% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 153W 3120.3% SRGBP -56.80 P/L-37.1% ROIA/E 0.81DD 57.80uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
Andrew Balding | Flat Turf
N 34W 1029.4% SRGBP -7.57 P/L-22.3% ROIA/E 1.03DD 8.42uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 5 | Flat Turf
N 252W 5421.4% SRGBP -41.88 P/L-16.6% ROIA/E 0.88DD 47.48uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-20.0% ROIA/E 1.08DD 4.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
15:30
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Woodbridge EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C & D) (EBF Qualifier) (GBB Race)
ScienzaOdds unavailableAll rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
5 positive2 negative0 neutral
Class: 28.3% SR / +10.0% ROIDistance: 22.8% SR / -12.8% ROITrainer: 29.4% SR / -22.3% ROICourse: 38.1% SR / +68.7% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
6f | Flat Turf
N 145W 3322.8% SRGBP -18.61 P/L-12.8% ROIA/E 0.97DD 41.03uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
Andrew Balding | Flat Turf
N 34W 1029.4% SRGBP -7.57 P/L-22.3% ROIA/E 1.03DD 8.42uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 473W 13428.3% SR+GBP 47.47 P/L+10.0% ROIA/E 1.06DD 42.74uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
6f | Flat Turf
N 6W 350.0% SR+GBP 3.42 P/L+56.9% ROIA/E 1.68DD 2.17uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SR+GBP 8.00 P/L+200.0% ROIA/E 2.17DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:13
SandownChasemore Farm EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
See The MountainOdds 28/1All ridesTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
1 positive7 negative1 neutral
Class: 26.0% SR / -29.7% ROITrainer: 33.3% SR / +3.1% ROIJockey: 33.3% SR / -0.6% ROICourse: 11.8% SR / -66.2% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 80W 2328.8% SRGBP -11.85 P/L-14.8% ROIA/E 1.05DD 15.22uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Andrew Balding | Flat Turf
N 21W 733.3% SR+GBP 0.65 P/L+3.1% ROIA/E 1.19DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf
N 18W 633.3% SRGBP -0.10 P/L-0.6% ROIA/E 0.98DD 9.09uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 3 | Flat Turf
N 77W 2026.0% SRGBP -22.84 P/L-29.7% ROIA/E 0.82DD 30.79uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-60.0% ROIA/E 0.65DD 4.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 3 | Flat Turf
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -1.25 P/L-25.0% ROIA/E 0.53DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:41
Southwell (AW)Free Race Replays On attheraces.com EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (B/C/D) (EBF Qual') (GBB/GBBPlus)
Phantom KnightOdds 7/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Negative historic lean
0 positive11 negative0 neutral
Class: 25.0% SR / -14.2% ROICourse: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROICourse + code: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / -11.1% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m | Flat AW
N 56W 1425.0% SRGBP -6.19 P/L-11.1% ROIA/E 1.03DD 11.60uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
Andrew Balding | Flat AW
N 26W 623.1% SRGBP -7.93 P/L-30.5% ROIA/E 0.97DD 15.27uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat AW
N 120W 3025.0% SRGBP -17.08 P/L-14.2% ROIA/E 0.88DD 34.02uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat AW
N 17W 317.6% SRGBP -6.90 P/L-40.6% ROIA/E 0.79DD 8.40uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
Andrew Balding | Flat AW
N 6W 116.7% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-16.7% ROIA/E 0.98DD 4.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
Andrew Balding | 1m | Flat AW
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat AW
N 35W 822.9% SRGBP -7.30 P/L-20.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 12.30uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + class
Andrew Balding | Class 4 | Flat AW
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + code
Andrew Balding | Flat AW
N 6W 116.7% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-16.7% ROIA/E 0.98DD 4.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

A P OBrien | Flat Turf

Strike rate
103 selections34 winners33.01% SRGBP -8.12 P/L
16:50
LeopardstownIrish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden
DrumbeatOdds 9/2Main shortlistTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive9 negative2 neutral
Class: 20.0% SR / -46.1% ROIJockey: 48.6% SR / +7.1% ROICourse: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROICourse + code: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 80W 2328.8% SRGBP -11.85 P/L-14.8% ROIA/E 1.05DD 15.22uusable sample
Neutral evidenceTrainer
A P OBrien | Flat Turf
N 46W 2043.5% SRGBP -0.65 P/L-1.4% ROIA/E 1.07DD 9.89uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 35W 1748.6% SR+GBP 2.48 P/L+7.1% ROIA/E 1.15DD 5.89uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
unknown | Flat Turf
N 65W 1320.0% SRGBP -29.99 P/L-46.1% ROIA/E 0.65DD 35.94uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 2.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.08DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
A P OBrien | Flat Turf
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP -5.53 P/L-69.1% ROIA/E 0.59DD 5.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
A P OBrien | 1m | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
unknown | Flat Turf
N 7W 00.0% SRGBP -7.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 7.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + class
A P OBrien | unknown | Flat Turf
N 5W 00.0% SRGBP -5.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 5.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SRGBP -1.53 P/L-38.2% ROIA/E 0.78DD 1.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + jockey
A P OBrien | Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SRGBP -1.53 P/L-38.2% ROIA/E 0.78DD 1.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
16:50
LeopardstownIrish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden
Wall StreetOdds 6/1Main shortlistTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
1 positive10 negative2 neutral
Class: 20.0% SR / -46.1% ROIJockey: 26.7% SR / -36.0% ROICourse: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROICourse + code: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 80W 2328.8% SRGBP -11.85 P/L-14.8% ROIA/E 1.05DD 15.22uusable sample
Neutral evidenceTrainer
A P OBrien | Flat Turf
N 46W 2043.5% SRGBP -0.65 P/L-1.4% ROIA/E 1.07DD 9.89uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Wayne Lordan | Flat Turf
N 15W 426.7% SRGBP -5.40 P/L-36.0% ROIA/E 0.89DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
unknown | Flat Turf
N 65W 1320.0% SRGBP -29.99 P/L-46.1% ROIA/E 0.65DD 35.94uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 2.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.08DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
A P OBrien | Flat Turf
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP -5.53 P/L-69.1% ROIA/E 0.59DD 5.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
A P OBrien | 1m | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
unknown | Flat Turf
N 7W 00.0% SRGBP -7.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 7.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + class
A P OBrien | unknown | Flat Turf
N 5W 00.0% SRGBP -5.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 5.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Wayne Lordan | Flat Turf
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + jockey
A P OBrien | Wayne Lordan | Flat Turf
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:00
LeopardstownBahrain Turf Club Desmond Stakes (Group 3)
Isaac NewtonOdds 13/2Main shortlistTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
4 positive6 negative3 neutral
Class: 44.7% SR / +35.5% ROIJockey: 48.6% SR / +7.1% ROICourse: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROICourse + code: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 80W 2328.8% SRGBP -11.85 P/L-14.8% ROIA/E 1.05DD 15.22uusable sample
Neutral evidenceTrainer
A P OBrien | Flat Turf
N 46W 2043.5% SRGBP -0.65 P/L-1.4% ROIA/E 1.07DD 9.89uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 35W 1748.6% SR+GBP 2.48 P/L+7.1% ROIA/E 1.15DD 5.89uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 85W 3844.7% SR+GBP 30.22 P/L+35.5% ROIA/E 1.30DD 9.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 2.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.08DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
A P OBrien | Flat Turf
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP -5.53 P/L-69.1% ROIA/E 0.59DD 5.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
A P OBrien | 1m | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 5W 480.0% SR+GBP 4.56 P/L+91.1% ROIA/E 1.64DD 1.00uthin sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + trainer + class
A P OBrien | Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 3W 266.7% SRGBP -0.53 P/L-17.6% ROIA/E 1.09DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SRGBP -1.53 P/L-38.2% ROIA/E 0.78DD 1.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + jockey
A P OBrien | Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SRGBP -1.53 P/L-38.2% ROIA/E 0.78DD 1.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf

Strike rate
66 selections16 winners24.24% SRGBP -20.58 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 35.0%13 runners / 5 winnersROI +31.2% | delta +88.5pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
16:00
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Cambridge Connections Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Cerro BlancoOdds 1/16Main shortlistTargeted candidateThreshold: Course
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
8 positive4 negative0 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROIDistance: 37.7% SR / +32.2% ROITrainer: 24.2% SR / -18.3% ROIJockey: 26.7% SR / +8.9% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
7f | Flat Turf
N 61W 2337.7% SR+GBP 19.62 P/L+32.2% ROIA/E 1.26DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf
N 33W 824.2% SRGBP -6.04 P/L-18.3% ROIA/E 0.82DD 14.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Billy Loughnane | Flat Turf
N 15W 426.7% SR+GBP 1.33 P/L+8.9% ROIA/E 0.86DD 7.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
7f | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SR+GBP 7.50 P/L+187.5% ROIA/E 1.84DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf
N 9W 222.2% SRGBP -1.17 P/L-13.0% ROIA/E 0.83DD 5.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
Charlie Appleby | 7f | Flat Turf
N 3W 133.3% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L+16.7% ROIA/E 1.04DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 3W 266.7% SR+GBP 9.00 P/L+300.0% ROIA/E 2.29DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + class
Charlie Appleby | Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + code
Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf
N 9W 222.2% SRGBP -1.17 P/L-13.0% ROIA/E 0.83DD 5.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
17:38
SandownBritish Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
Catching DreamsOdds 5/6All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
3 positive7 negative2 neutral
Class: 28.3% SR / +10.0% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / +6.3% ROITrainer: 24.2% SR / -31.2% ROICourse: 16.1% SR / -44.0% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 31W 516.1% SRGBP -13.62 P/L-44.0% ROIA/E 0.74DD 14.62uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
5f | Flat Turf
N 92W 2325.0% SR+GBP 5.77 P/L+6.3% ROIA/E 1.03DD 18.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf
N 66W 1624.2% SRGBP -20.58 P/L-31.2% ROIA/E 0.78DD 26.79uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Connor Planas | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 473W 13428.3% SR+GBP 47.47 P/L+10.0% ROIA/E 1.06DD 42.74uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
5f | Flat Turf
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -2.12 P/L-42.5% ROIA/E 0.85DD 4.00uthin sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + trainer
Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf
N 10W 330.0% SRGBP -0.12 P/L-1.2% ROIA/E 1.13DD 5.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
Charlie Appleby | 5f | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 0.88 P/L+43.8% ROIA/E 1.47DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 9W 00.0% SRGBP -9.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 9.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + class
Charlie Appleby | Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 28W 414.3% SRGBP -14.38 P/L-51.3% ROIA/E 0.64DD 15.38uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + trainer + code
Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf
N 10W 330.0% SRGBP -0.12 P/L-1.2% ROIA/E 1.13DD 5.00uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:13
SandownChasemore Farm EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
First LawOdds evnAll rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
1 positive8 negative3 neutral
Class: 24.7% SR / -20.5% ROIDistance: 20.3% SR / -37.1% ROITrainer: 24.2% SR / -31.2% ROICourse: 16.1% SR / -44.0% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 31W 516.1% SRGBP -13.62 P/L-44.0% ROIA/E 0.74DD 14.62uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 153W 3120.3% SRGBP -56.80 P/L-37.1% ROIA/E 0.81DD 57.80uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf
N 66W 1624.2% SRGBP -20.58 P/L-31.2% ROIA/E 0.78DD 26.79uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Connor Planas | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 3 | Flat Turf
N 174W 4324.7% SRGBP -35.62 P/L-20.5% ROIA/E 0.90DD 50.60uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 7W 228.6% SRGBP 0.00 P/L0.0% ROIA/E 1.04DD 4.00uthin sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + trainer
Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf
N 10W 330.0% SRGBP -0.12 P/L-1.2% ROIA/E 1.13DD 5.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
Charlie Appleby | 1m | Flat Turf
N 3W 266.7% SR+GBP 4.00 P/L+133.3% ROIA/E 2.31DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 3 | Flat Turf
N 7W 114.3% SRGBP -3.25 P/L-46.4% ROIA/E 0.44DD 3.25uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + class
Charlie Appleby | Class 3 | Flat Turf
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 28W 414.3% SRGBP -14.38 P/L-51.3% ROIA/E 0.64DD 15.38uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + trainer + code
Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf
N 10W 330.0% SRGBP -0.12 P/L-1.2% ROIA/E 1.13DD 5.00uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

W P Mullins | Flat Turf

Strike rate
124 selections29 winners23.39% SRGBP -34.14 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 27.5%123 runners / 23 winnersROI +10.0% | delta +53.8pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
18:35
LeopardstownBallyroan Stakes (Group 3)
Ethical DiamondOdds 9/4All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
4 positive4 negative1 neutral
Class: 27.3% SR / +18.3% ROITrainer: 23.4% SR / -27.5% ROIJockey: 38.9% SR / -0.8% ROIDistance: 32.4% SR / +0.6% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 68W 2232.4% SR+GBP 0.39 P/L+0.6% ROIA/E 1.04DD 9.99uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
W P Mullins | Flat Turf
N 124W 2923.4% SRGBP -34.14 P/L-27.5% ROIA/E 0.75DD 57.26uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 72W 2838.9% SRGBP -0.61 P/L-0.8% ROIA/E 1.04DD 8.61uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 242W 6627.3% SR+GBP 44.36 P/L+18.3% ROIA/E 1.07DD 30.50uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + distance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SRGBP -0.75 P/L-37.5% ROIA/E 1.08DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 7.82 P/L+37.2% ROIA/E 1.18DD 6.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 11W 545.5% SR+GBP 0.64 P/L+5.8% ROIA/E 0.99DD 2.36uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:35
LeopardstownBallyroan Stakes (Group 3)
GaucherOdds 14/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
3 positive4 negative1 neutral
Class: 27.3% SR / +18.3% ROITrainer: 23.4% SR / -27.5% ROIDistance: 32.4% SR / +0.6% ROICourse: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 68W 2232.4% SR+GBP 0.39 P/L+0.6% ROIA/E 1.04DD 9.99uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
W P Mullins | Flat Turf
N 124W 2923.4% SRGBP -34.14 P/L-27.5% ROIA/E 0.75DD 57.26uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Declan McDonogh | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 242W 6627.3% SR+GBP 44.36 P/L+18.3% ROIA/E 1.07DD 30.50uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + distance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SRGBP -0.75 P/L-37.5% ROIA/E 1.08DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 7.82 P/L+37.2% ROIA/E 1.18DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
17:15
SligoMartin Reilly Hyundai Mares Maiden Hurdle
Sea FelizOdds unavailableAll ridesTargeted candidateThreshold: Distance
Race-specific trends unavailable
Racecard
18:55
SligoMulhern Leonard Chartered Accountants Maiden Hurdle
Ivana dAlcoOdds 6/1All ridesTargeted candidate
Race-specific trends unavailable
Racecard
20:05
SligoIrish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race
Peat SoundsOdds 8/13Main shortlistThreshold: Distance
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Positive historic lean
1 positive0 negative0 neutral
Course: 50.0% SR / +75.2% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Sligo
N 6W 350.0% SR+GBP 4.51 P/L+75.2% ROIA/E 1.34DD 2.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Best Jockeys

James Doyle | Flat Turf

Strike rate + profit
27 selections10 winners37.04% SR+GBP 7.17 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 25.0%16 runners / 3 winnersROI +10.0% | delta +10.2pts
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 15.0%97 runners / 21 winnersROI +26.0% | delta +26.2pts
Race typeIdeal threshold >= 20.0%14 runners / 4 winnersROI +14.8% | delta +15.0pts
MonthIdeal threshold >= 17.5%47 runners / 11 winnersROI +32.4% | delta +32.7pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
19:16
Southwell (AW)Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap (Div I)
Ziggys CondorOdds 11/2All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
3 positive4 negative0 neutral
Course: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROICourse + code: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROIClass: 23.2% SR / +1.8% ROIDistance: 28.6% SR / +17.6% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
6f | Flat AW
N 49W 1428.6% SR+GBP 8.62 P/L+17.6% ROIA/E 1.37DD 10.50uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
James Doyle | Flat AW
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 5 | Flat AW
N 69W 1623.2% SR+GBP 1.24 P/L+1.8% ROIA/E 1.10DD 21.38uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
6f | Flat AW
N 6W 116.7% SR+GBP 1.00 P/L+16.7% ROIA/E 0.97DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 5 | Flat AW
N 22W 418.2% SRGBP -1.88 P/L-8.5% ROIA/E 0.90DD 12.38uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
20:26
Southwell (AW)Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
French DukeOdds 12/1All ridesTargeted candidateThreshold: Distance
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive3 negative0 neutral
Course: 18.2% SR / -9.1% ROICourse + code: 18.2% SR / -9.1% ROIDistance: 66.7% SR / +71.5% ROICourse + distance: 50.0% SR / +175.0% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 11W 218.2% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-9.1% ROIA/E 0.85DD 6.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 6W 466.7% SR+GBP 4.29 P/L+71.5% ROIA/E 1.43DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 2 | Flat AW
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 3.50 P/L+175.0% ROIA/E 4.62DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 11W 218.2% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-9.1% ROIA/E 0.85DD 6.00uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Oisin Orr | Flat Turf

Strike rate + profit
14 selections3 winners21.43% SR+GBP 5.23 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 17.5%21 runners / 7 winnersROI +18.4% | delta +54.6pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
17:04
Southwell (AW)attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div I)
Hear The DrumsOdds 12/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive5 negative0 neutral
Course: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROICourse + code: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / -11.1% ROIClass: 24.5% SR / +45.8% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m | Flat AW
N 56W 1425.0% SRGBP -6.19 P/L-11.1% ROIA/E 1.03DD 11.60uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Oisin Orr | Flat AW
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 6 | Flat AW
N 49W 1224.5% SR+GBP 22.46 P/L+45.8% ROIA/E 1.37DD 11.25uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat AW
N 17W 317.6% SRGBP -6.90 P/L-40.6% ROIA/E 0.79DD 8.40uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 6 | Flat AW
N 10W 330.0% SR+GBP 1.88 P/L+18.8% ROIA/E 1.45DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
20:26
Southwell (AW)Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Spinning WheelOdds 6/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive7 negative1 neutral
Course: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROICourse + code: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROIDistance: 30.4% SR / -1.8% ROIClass: 25.0% SR / +25.9% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 23W 730.4% SRGBP -0.41 P/L-1.8% ROIA/E 1.01DD 13.20uusable sample
Neutral evidenceTrainer
Simon & Ed Crisford | Flat AW
N 6W 233.3% SRGBP -0.65 P/L-10.8% ROIA/E 1.24DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Oisin Orr | Flat AW
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 2 | Flat AW
N 8W 225.0% SR+GBP 2.07 P/L+25.9% ROIA/E 1.00DD 4.43uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP 0.00 P/L0.0% ROIA/E 1.26DD 4.50uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
Simon & Ed Crisford | Flat AW
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 2 | Flat AW
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + code
Simon & Ed Crisford | Flat AW
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Mr P W Mullins | Flat Turf

Strike rate + profit
22 selections10 winners45.45% SR+GBP 3.32 P/L
20:05
SligoIrish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race
Peat SoundsOdds 8/13Main shortlist
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Positive historic lean
1 positive0 negative0 neutral
Course: 50.0% SR / +75.2% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Sligo
N 6W 350.0% SR+GBP 4.51 P/L+75.2% ROIA/E 1.34DD 2.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Darragh OKeeffe | Flat Turf

Profit
15 selections3 winners20.00% SR+GBP 2.30 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 10.0%32 runners / 4 winnersROI +64.0% | delta +79.2pts
MonthIdeal threshold >= 10.0%25 runners / 3 winnersROI +27.5% | delta +42.7pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
18:20
SligoSIS Handicap Hurdle
Frontier RoseOdds unavailableAll rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
1 positive1 negative0 neutral
Course: 50.0% SR / +75.2% ROICourse + code: 0.0% SR / -100.0% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Sligo
N 6W 350.0% SR+GBP 4.51 P/L+75.2% ROIA/E 1.34DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Hurdle
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:55
SligoMulhern Leonard Chartered Accountants Maiden Hurdle
Fox WalkOdds 12/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
1 positive1 negative0 neutral
Course: 50.0% SR / +75.2% ROICourse + code: 0.0% SR / -100.0% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Sligo
N 6W 350.0% SR+GBP 4.51 P/L+75.2% ROIA/E 1.34DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Hurdle
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
19:30
SligoLighthouse At Clifford Electrical Handicap Hurdle
BruantOdds 7/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
1 positive1 negative0 neutral
Course: 50.0% SR / +75.2% ROICourse + code: 0.0% SR / -100.0% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Sligo
N 6W 350.0% SR+GBP 4.51 P/L+75.2% ROIA/E 1.34DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Hurdle
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Hector Crouch | Flat AW

Strike rate + profit
15 selections5 winners33.33% SR+GBP 1.54 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
MonthIdeal threshold >= 22.5%16 runners / 4 winnersROI +83.3% | delta +97.8pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
16:33
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Eastern Counties Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Koala RoseOdds 3/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
4 positive7 negative0 neutral
Class: 28.3% SR / +10.0% ROIDistance: 23.4% SR / -15.7% ROITrainer: 10.5% SR / -45.4% ROICourse: 38.1% SR / +68.7% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
2m | Flat Turf
N 158W 3723.4% SRGBP -24.79 P/L-15.7% ROIA/E 0.87DD 39.50uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
Ralph Beckett | Flat Turf
N 38W 410.5% SRGBP -17.27 P/L-45.4% ROIA/E 0.54DD 24.27uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Hector Crouch | Flat Turf
N 18W 15.6% SRGBP -6.00 P/L-33.3% ROIA/E 0.31DD 11.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 473W 13428.3% SR+GBP 47.47 P/L+10.0% ROIA/E 1.06DD 42.74uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
Ralph Beckett | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SR+GBP 8.00 P/L+200.0% ROIA/E 2.17DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Hector Crouch | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + jockey
Ralph Beckett | Hector Crouch | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + code
Ralph Beckett | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Jason Watson | Flat AW

Profit
10 selections2 winners20.00% SR+GBP 1.00 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
MonthIdeal threshold >= 17.5%11 runners / 2 winnersROI +188.9% | delta +240.5pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
17:38
SandownBritish Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
Vesper HoneyOdds 100/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive5 negative0 neutral
Class: 28.3% SR / +10.0% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / +6.3% ROICourse: 16.1% SR / -44.0% ROICourse + code: 14.3% SR / -51.3% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 31W 516.1% SRGBP -13.62 P/L-44.0% ROIA/E 0.74DD 14.62uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
5f | Flat Turf
N 92W 2325.0% SR+GBP 5.77 P/L+6.3% ROIA/E 1.03DD 18.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Jason Watson | Flat Turf
N 9W 111.1% SRGBP -5.00 P/L-55.6% ROIA/E 0.81DD 5.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 473W 13428.3% SR+GBP 47.47 P/L+10.0% ROIA/E 1.06DD 42.74uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
5f | Flat Turf
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -2.12 P/L-42.5% ROIA/E 0.85DD 4.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 9W 00.0% SRGBP -9.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 9.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 28W 414.3% SRGBP -14.38 P/L-51.3% ROIA/E 0.64DD 15.38uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
19:58
SandownCommunity Fund For Elmbridge Handicap
Kodi FireOdds 5/1All ridesTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
1 positive5 negative1 neutral
Class: 25.3% SR / -21.9% ROICourse: 11.8% SR / -66.2% ROICourse + code: 11.8% SR / -66.2% ROICourse + distance: 20.0% SR / -60.0% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 80W 2328.8% SRGBP -11.85 P/L-14.8% ROIA/E 1.05DD 15.22uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Jason Watson | Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP 0.00 P/L0.0% ROIA/E 1.63DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 5 | Flat Turf
N 75W 1925.3% SRGBP -16.41 P/L-21.9% ROIA/E 0.90DD 17.05uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-60.0% ROIA/E 0.65DD 4.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 5 | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Harry Davies | Flat Turf

Strike rate + profit
12 selections3 winners25.00% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 17.5%18 runners / 3 winnersROI +73.5% | delta +122.8pts
MonthIdeal threshold >= 15.0%35 runners / 6 winnersROI +7.6% | delta +56.8pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
17:20
ChepstowWasdell Group Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap
Virtue DiligenceOdds 9/2All ridesThreshold: Distance
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive3 negative1 neutral
Class: 21.4% SR / -16.6% ROIDistance: 32.4% SR / +0.6% ROICourse: 20.8% SR / -57.1% ROIJockey: 25.0% SR / +4.2% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Chepstow
N 24W 520.8% SRGBP -13.69 P/L-57.1% ROIA/E 0.75DD 14.31uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 68W 2232.4% SR+GBP 0.39 P/L+0.6% ROIA/E 1.04DD 9.99uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Harry Davies | Flat Turf
N 12W 325.0% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L+4.2% ROIA/E 1.38DD 5.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 5 | Flat Turf
N 252W 5421.4% SRGBP -41.88 P/L-16.6% ROIA/E 0.88DD 47.48uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 5 | Flat Turf
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP -3.80 P/L-47.5% ROIA/E 0.90DD 4.00uthin sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 7W 342.9% SRGBP -1.18 P/L-16.9% ROIA/E 1.21DD 3.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
17:55
ChepstowReecer Group Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Rogue DakotaOdds 9/4Main shortlistThreshold: Distance, Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
4 positive3 negative1 neutral
Class: 28.3% SR / +10.0% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / +6.3% ROICourse: 20.8% SR / -57.1% ROICourse + class: 16.7% SR / -62.6% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Chepstow
N 24W 520.8% SRGBP -13.69 P/L-57.1% ROIA/E 0.75DD 14.31uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
5f | Flat Turf
N 92W 2325.0% SR+GBP 5.77 P/L+6.3% ROIA/E 1.03DD 18.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Archie Watson | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SR+GBP 6.50 P/L+162.5% ROIA/E 3.92DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Harry Davies | Flat Turf
N 12W 325.0% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L+4.2% ROIA/E 1.38DD 5.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 473W 13428.3% SR+GBP 47.47 P/L+10.0% ROIA/E 1.06DD 42.74uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
5f | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 12W 216.7% SRGBP -7.51 P/L-62.6% ROIA/E 0.58DD 8.12uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 7W 342.9% SRGBP -1.18 P/L-16.9% ROIA/E 1.21DD 3.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:30
ChepstowDunraven Windows Supports Chepstow Centenary Celebrations Handicap
Rogue BulletOdds 5/2All ridesTargeted candidateThreshold: Distance
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
3 positive4 negative1 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROIDistance: 21.2% SR / -41.9% ROITrainer: 28.6% SR / +3.6% ROICourse: 25.0% SR / -59.6% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Chepstow
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP -2.38 P/L-59.6% ROIA/E 0.88DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceDistance
5f | Flat Turf
N 33W 721.2% SRGBP -13.82 P/L-41.9% ROIA/E 0.81DD 16.07uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
James Owen | Flat Turf
N 7W 228.6% SR+GBP 0.25 P/L+3.6% ROIA/E 1.83DD 3.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Harry Davies | Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L+12.5% ROIA/E 1.15DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
5f | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SRGBP -0.38 P/L-19.2% ROIA/E 1.18DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP -2.38 P/L-59.6% ROIA/E 0.88DD 3.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
19:05
ChepstowHappy Birthday Colin Spencer Handicap (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier)
WindbreakerOdds unavailableMain shortlistTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
6 positive2 negative2 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROITrainer: 34.6% SR / +17.2% ROICourse: 25.0% SR / -59.6% ROICourse + code: 25.0% SR / -59.6% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Chepstow
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP -2.38 P/L-59.6% ROIA/E 0.88DD 3.00uthin sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 80W 2328.8% SRGBP -11.85 P/L-14.8% ROIA/E 1.05DD 15.22uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 81W 2834.6% SR+GBP 13.93 P/L+17.2% ROIA/E 1.23DD 14.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Harry Davies | Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L+12.5% ROIA/E 1.15DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 1W 1100.0% SR+GBP 0.62 P/L+61.5% ROIA/E 1.62DD 0.00uthin sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SRGBP -0.38 P/L-19.2% ROIA/E 1.18DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + class
William Haggas | Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 1W 1100.0% SR+GBP 0.62 P/L+61.5% ROIA/E 1.62DD 0.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP -2.38 P/L-59.6% ROIA/E 0.88DD 3.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + code
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 1W 1100.0% SR+GBP 0.62 P/L+61.5% ROIA/E 1.62DD 0.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

W J Lee | Flat Turf

Strike rate + profit
32 selections9 winners28.12% SR+GBP 0.47 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 15.0%52 runners / 10 winnersROI +6.6% | delta +19.5pts
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 12.5%111 runners / 22 winnersROI +35.3% | delta +48.2pts
Race typeIdeal threshold >= 17.5%11 runners / 6 winnersROI +179.2% | delta +192.1pts
MonthIdeal threshold >= 12.5%139 runners / 26 winnersROI +14.6% | delta +27.5pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
16:50
LeopardstownIrish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden
Ryano BhinoOdds 33/1All ridesThreshold: Course, Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
3 positive6 negative0 neutral
Class: 19.7% SR / -45.0% ROIDistance: 20.3% SR / -37.1% ROICourse: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROICourse + code: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 153W 3120.3% SRGBP -56.80 P/L-37.1% ROIA/E 0.81DD 57.80uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Henry De Bromhead | Flat Turf
N 23W 417.4% SR+GBP 1.80 P/L+7.8% ROIA/E 0.87DD 8.20uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 32W 928.1% SR+GBP 0.47 P/L+1.5% ROIA/E 1.00DD 12.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
unknown | Flat Turf
N 208W 4119.7% SRGBP -93.57 P/L-45.0% ROIA/E 0.69DD 94.97uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP -1.57 P/L-19.6% ROIA/E 0.90DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
unknown | Flat Turf
N 19W 15.3% SRGBP -15.00 P/L-79.0% ROIA/E 0.27DD 15.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 6W 233.3% SR+GBP 1.08 P/L+18.1% ROIA/E 1.16DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
17:25
LeopardstownIrish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden
NemorinoOdds 14/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
4 positive5 negative0 neutral
Class: 19.7% SR / -45.0% ROICourse: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROICourse + code: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROIDistance: 33.3% SR / +44.3% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m1f | Flat Turf
N 36W 1233.3% SR+GBP 15.93 P/L+44.3% ROIA/E 1.14DD 10.17uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Henry De Bromhead | Flat Turf
N 23W 417.4% SR+GBP 1.80 P/L+7.8% ROIA/E 0.87DD 8.20uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 32W 928.1% SR+GBP 0.47 P/L+1.5% ROIA/E 1.00DD 12.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
unknown | Flat Turf
N 208W 4119.7% SRGBP -93.57 P/L-45.0% ROIA/E 0.69DD 94.97uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m1f | Flat Turf
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
unknown | Flat Turf
N 19W 15.3% SRGBP -15.00 P/L-79.0% ROIA/E 0.27DD 15.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 6W 233.3% SR+GBP 1.08 P/L+18.1% ROIA/E 1.16DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:35
LeopardstownBallyroan Stakes (Group 3)
AscendingOdds 28/1All ridesTargeted candidateThreshold: Distance, Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
4 positive3 negative2 neutral
Class: 44.7% SR / +35.5% ROICourse: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROICourse + code: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROIJockey: 41.7% SR / +61.1% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 37W 1335.1% SRGBP -1.59 P/L-4.3% ROIA/E 1.10DD 7.71uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
Henry De Bromhead | Flat Turf
N 5W 00.0% SRGBP -5.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 5.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceJockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 12W 541.7% SR+GBP 7.33 P/L+61.1% ROIA/E 1.57DD 5.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 85W 3844.7% SR+GBP 30.22 P/L+35.5% ROIA/E 1.30DD 9.00uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + distance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SRGBP -0.75 P/L-37.5% ROIA/E 1.08DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 5W 480.0% SR+GBP 4.56 P/L+91.1% ROIA/E 1.64DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SR+GBP 3.08 P/L+77.1% ROIA/E 1.86DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
19:45
LeopardstownRenault Ireland Handicap
Guys GirlOdds 18/1All ridesThreshold: Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
3 positive5 negative0 neutral
Class: 19.7% SR / -45.0% ROICourse: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROICourse + code: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROIDistance: 33.3% SR / +44.3% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m1f | Flat Turf
N 36W 1233.3% SR+GBP 15.93 P/L+44.3% ROIA/E 1.14DD 10.17uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 32W 928.1% SR+GBP 0.47 P/L+1.5% ROIA/E 1.00DD 12.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
unknown | Flat Turf
N 208W 4119.7% SRGBP -93.57 P/L-45.0% ROIA/E 0.69DD 94.97uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m1f | Flat Turf
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
unknown | Flat Turf
N 19W 15.3% SRGBP -15.00 P/L-79.0% ROIA/E 0.27DD 15.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
W J Lee | Flat Turf
N 6W 233.3% SR+GBP 1.08 P/L+18.1% ROIA/E 1.16DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Ryan Moore | Flat Turf

Strike rate
72 selections28 winners38.89% SRGBP -0.61 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 35.0%23 runners / 12 winnersROI +7.8% | delta +26.3pts
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 27.5%48 runners / 23 winnersROI +120.0% | delta +138.4pts
Race typeIdeal threshold >= 22.5%52 runners / 24 winnersROI +42.6% | delta +61.0pts
MonthIdeal threshold >= 27.5%51 runners / 24 winnersROI +24.0% | delta +42.4pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
16:50
LeopardstownIrish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden
DrumbeatOdds 9/2Main shortlistTargeted candidateThreshold: Course, Distance, Race type, Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive9 negative2 neutral
Class: 20.0% SR / -46.1% ROIJockey: 48.6% SR / +7.1% ROICourse: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROICourse + code: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 80W 2328.8% SRGBP -11.85 P/L-14.8% ROIA/E 1.05DD 15.22uusable sample
Neutral evidenceTrainer
A P OBrien | Flat Turf
N 46W 2043.5% SRGBP -0.65 P/L-1.4% ROIA/E 1.07DD 9.89uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 35W 1748.6% SR+GBP 2.48 P/L+7.1% ROIA/E 1.15DD 5.89uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
unknown | Flat Turf
N 65W 1320.0% SRGBP -29.99 P/L-46.1% ROIA/E 0.65DD 35.94uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 2.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.08DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
A P OBrien | Flat Turf
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP -5.53 P/L-69.1% ROIA/E 0.59DD 5.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
A P OBrien | 1m | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
unknown | Flat Turf
N 7W 00.0% SRGBP -7.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 7.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + class
A P OBrien | unknown | Flat Turf
N 5W 00.0% SRGBP -5.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 5.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SRGBP -1.53 P/L-38.2% ROIA/E 0.78DD 1.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + jockey
A P OBrien | Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SRGBP -1.53 P/L-38.2% ROIA/E 0.78DD 1.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:00
LeopardstownBahrain Turf Club Desmond Stakes (Group 3)
Isaac NewtonOdds 13/2Main shortlistTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
4 positive6 negative3 neutral
Class: 44.7% SR / +35.5% ROIJockey: 48.6% SR / +7.1% ROICourse: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROICourse + code: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 80W 2328.8% SRGBP -11.85 P/L-14.8% ROIA/E 1.05DD 15.22uusable sample
Neutral evidenceTrainer
A P OBrien | Flat Turf
N 46W 2043.5% SRGBP -0.65 P/L-1.4% ROIA/E 1.07DD 9.89uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 35W 1748.6% SR+GBP 2.48 P/L+7.1% ROIA/E 1.15DD 5.89uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 85W 3844.7% SR+GBP 30.22 P/L+35.5% ROIA/E 1.30DD 9.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 2.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.08DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
A P OBrien | Flat Turf
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP -5.53 P/L-69.1% ROIA/E 0.59DD 5.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
A P OBrien | 1m | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 5W 480.0% SR+GBP 4.56 P/L+91.1% ROIA/E 1.64DD 1.00uthin sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + trainer + class
A P OBrien | Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 3W 266.7% SRGBP -0.53 P/L-17.6% ROIA/E 1.09DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SRGBP -1.53 P/L-38.2% ROIA/E 0.78DD 1.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + jockey
A P OBrien | Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SRGBP -1.53 P/L-38.2% ROIA/E 0.78DD 1.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:35
LeopardstownBallyroan Stakes (Group 3)
Ethical DiamondOdds 9/4All ridesThreshold: Course, Distance, Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
4 positive4 negative1 neutral
Class: 27.3% SR / +18.3% ROITrainer: 23.4% SR / -27.5% ROIJockey: 38.9% SR / -0.8% ROIDistance: 32.4% SR / +0.6% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 68W 2232.4% SR+GBP 0.39 P/L+0.6% ROIA/E 1.04DD 9.99uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
W P Mullins | Flat Turf
N 124W 2923.4% SRGBP -34.14 P/L-27.5% ROIA/E 0.75DD 57.26uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 72W 2838.9% SRGBP -0.61 P/L-0.8% ROIA/E 1.04DD 8.61uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 242W 6627.3% SR+GBP 44.36 P/L+18.3% ROIA/E 1.07DD 30.50uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + distance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SRGBP -0.75 P/L-37.5% ROIA/E 1.08DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 7.82 P/L+37.2% ROIA/E 1.18DD 6.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
Ryan Moore | Flat Turf
N 11W 545.5% SR+GBP 0.64 P/L+5.8% ROIA/E 0.99DD 2.36uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Robert Havlin | Flat AW

Strike rate
14 selections4 winners28.57% SRGBP -1.08 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 10.0%119 runners / 19 winnersROI +6.1% | delta +10.9pts
Race typeIdeal threshold >= 20.0%14 runners / 5 winnersROI +122.9% | delta +127.7pts
MonthIdeal threshold >= 17.5%41 runners / 7 winnersROI +12.9% | delta +17.7pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
17:04
Southwell (AW)attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div I)
DistillationOdds 6/4All ridesTargeted candidateThreshold: Distance
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
3 positive5 negative0 neutral
Course: 18.2% SR / -9.1% ROICourse + code: 18.2% SR / -9.1% ROIClass: 20.0% SR / -12.5% ROIDistance: 33.3% SR / +26.8% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 11W 218.2% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-9.1% ROIA/E 0.85DD 6.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m | Flat AW
N 9W 333.3% SR+GBP 2.41 P/L+26.8% ROIA/E 1.20DD 4.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Robert Havlin | Flat AW
N 7W 228.6% SRGBP -1.58 P/L-22.6% ROIA/E 0.57DD 4.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 6 | Flat AW
N 10W 220.0% SRGBP -1.25 P/L-12.5% ROIA/E 0.98DD 7.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat AW
N 4W 125.0% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L+12.5% ROIA/E 1.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 6 | Flat AW
N 1W 1100.0% SR+GBP 4.50 P/L+450.0% ROIA/E 5.50DD 0.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Robert Havlin | Flat AW
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 11W 218.2% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-9.1% ROIA/E 0.85DD 6.00uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
20:26
Southwell (AW)Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Port Of LondonOdds 9/2All ridesThreshold: Distance
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
3 positive10 negative0 neutral
Course: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROICourse + code: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROITrainer: 37.5% SR / +65.5% ROIDistance: 30.4% SR / -1.8% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 23W 730.4% SRGBP -0.41 P/L-1.8% ROIA/E 1.01DD 13.20uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
John & Thady Gosden | Flat AW
N 24W 937.5% SR+GBP 15.73 P/L+65.5% ROIA/E 0.99DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Robert Havlin | Flat AW
N 14W 428.6% SRGBP -1.08 P/L-7.7% ROIA/E 0.73DD 4.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 2 | Flat AW
N 8W 225.0% SR+GBP 2.07 P/L+25.9% ROIA/E 1.00DD 4.43uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP 0.00 P/L0.0% ROIA/E 1.26DD 4.50uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
John & Thady Gosden | Flat AW
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -0.50 P/L-10.0% ROIA/E 0.50DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
John & Thady Gosden | 1m3f | Flat AW
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 2 | Flat AW
N 2W 00.0% SRGBP -2.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Robert Havlin | Flat AW
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + jockey
John & Thady Gosden | Robert Havlin | Flat AW
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + code
John & Thady Gosden | Flat AW
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -0.50 P/L-10.0% ROIA/E 0.50DD 3.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Connor Beasley | Flat Turf

Strike rate
12 selections3 winners25.00% SRGBP -1.75 P/L
17:04
Southwell (AW)attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div I)
SodaOdds 20/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
4 positive4 negative0 neutral
Course: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROICourse + code: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / -11.1% ROIClass: 24.5% SR / +45.8% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m | Flat AW
N 56W 1425.0% SRGBP -6.19 P/L-11.1% ROIA/E 1.03DD 11.60uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Connor Beasley | Flat AW
N 4W 250.0% SR+GBP 1.60 P/L+40.0% ROIA/E 2.40DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 6 | Flat AW
N 49W 1224.5% SR+GBP 22.46 P/L+45.8% ROIA/E 1.37DD 11.25uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat AW
N 17W 317.6% SRGBP -6.90 P/L-40.6% ROIA/E 0.79DD 8.40uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 6 | Flat AW
N 10W 330.0% SR+GBP 1.88 P/L+18.8% ROIA/E 1.45DD 6.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
Connor Beasley | Flat AW
N 3W 266.7% SR+GBP 2.60 P/L+86.7% ROIA/E 2.50DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:06
Southwell (AW)Simon Davis Big 60th Birthday Bash Fillies' Handicap
ZarincaOdds 10/1Main shortlistTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
4 positive3 negative0 neutral
Class: 46.1% SR / +62.7% ROICourse: 18.2% SR / -9.1% ROICourse + code: 18.2% SR / -9.1% ROIDistance: 33.3% SR / +26.8% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 11W 218.2% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-9.1% ROIA/E 0.85DD 6.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m | Flat AW
N 9W 333.3% SR+GBP 2.41 P/L+26.8% ROIA/E 1.20DD 4.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Edward Bethell | Flat AW
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L+25.0% ROIA/E 2.04DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 5 | Flat AW
N 13W 646.1% SR+GBP 8.15 P/L+62.7% ROIA/E 1.37DD 3.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat AW
N 4W 125.0% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L+12.5% ROIA/E 1.00DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 5 | Flat AW
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 11W 218.2% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-9.1% ROIA/E 0.85DD 6.00uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
20:26
Southwell (AW)Free Tips On attheraces.com Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Virtual RockOdds 16/1All ridesTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive3 negative0 neutral
Course: 18.2% SR / -9.1% ROICourse + code: 18.2% SR / -9.1% ROIDistance: 66.7% SR / +71.5% ROICourse + distance: 50.0% SR / +175.0% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 11W 218.2% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-9.1% ROIA/E 0.85DD 6.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 6W 466.7% SR+GBP 4.29 P/L+71.5% ROIA/E 1.43DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 2 | Flat AW
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 3.50 P/L+175.0% ROIA/E 4.62DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 11W 218.2% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-9.1% ROIA/E 0.85DD 6.00uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
21:00
Southwell (AW)Download The At The Races App Handicap
DistinctionOdds 18/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
5 positive3 negative0 neutral
Course: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROICourse + code: 21.1% SR / -18.2% ROIClass: 24.5% SR / +45.8% ROIDistance: 30.4% SR / -1.8% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Southwell (AW)
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 23W 730.4% SRGBP -0.41 P/L-1.8% ROIA/E 1.01DD 13.20uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Connor Beasley | Flat AW
N 4W 250.0% SR+GBP 1.60 P/L+40.0% ROIA/E 2.40DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 6 | Flat AW
N 49W 1224.5% SR+GBP 22.46 P/L+45.8% ROIA/E 1.37DD 11.25uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m3f | Flat AW
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP 0.00 P/L0.0% ROIA/E 1.26DD 4.50uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 6 | Flat AW
N 10W 330.0% SR+GBP 1.88 P/L+18.8% ROIA/E 1.45DD 6.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
Connor Beasley | Flat AW
N 3W 266.7% SR+GBP 2.60 P/L+86.7% ROIA/E 2.50DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat AW
N 76W 1621.1% SRGBP -13.80 P/L-18.2% ROIA/E 0.87DD 28.77uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Billy Loughnane | Flat Turf

Strike rate
23 selections5 winners21.74% SRGBP -4.57 P/L
14:55
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Suffolk Heritage Nursery Handicap
Lord RagnarOdds 7/4All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive4 negative0 neutral
Class: 21.4% SR / -16.6% ROIDistance: 20.3% SR / -37.1% ROIJockey: 21.7% SR / -19.9% ROICourse: 38.1% SR / +68.7% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 153W 3120.3% SRGBP -56.80 P/L-37.1% ROIA/E 0.81DD 57.80uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Billy Loughnane | Flat Turf
N 23W 521.7% SRGBP -4.57 P/L-19.9% ROIA/E 0.75DD 11.90uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 5 | Flat Turf
N 252W 5421.4% SRGBP -41.88 P/L-16.6% ROIA/E 0.88DD 47.48uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-20.0% ROIA/E 1.08DD 4.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
15:30
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Woodbridge EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C & D) (EBF Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Crown And TwoOdds unavailableAll ridesTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
6 positive1 negative0 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / -17.9% ROIJockey: 26.7% SR / +8.9% ROICourse: 42.9% SR / +116.7% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
6f | Flat Turf
N 60W 1525.0% SRGBP -10.74 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.97DD 18.11uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Billy Loughnane | Flat Turf
N 15W 426.7% SR+GBP 1.33 P/L+8.9% ROIA/E 0.86DD 7.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
6f | Flat Turf
N 3W 133.3% SR+GBP 1.33 P/L+44.4% ROIA/E 1.13DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 3W 266.7% SR+GBP 9.00 P/L+300.0% ROIA/E 2.29DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
16:00
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Cambridge Connections Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
Cerro BlancoOdds 1/16Main shortlistTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
8 positive4 negative0 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROIDistance: 37.7% SR / +32.2% ROITrainer: 24.2% SR / -18.3% ROIJockey: 26.7% SR / +8.9% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
7f | Flat Turf
N 61W 2337.7% SR+GBP 19.62 P/L+32.2% ROIA/E 1.26DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf
N 33W 824.2% SRGBP -6.04 P/L-18.3% ROIA/E 0.82DD 14.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Billy Loughnane | Flat Turf
N 15W 426.7% SR+GBP 1.33 P/L+8.9% ROIA/E 0.86DD 7.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
7f | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SR+GBP 7.50 P/L+187.5% ROIA/E 1.84DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf
N 9W 222.2% SRGBP -1.17 P/L-13.0% ROIA/E 0.83DD 5.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
Charlie Appleby | 7f | Flat Turf
N 3W 133.3% SR+GBP 0.50 P/L+16.7% ROIA/E 1.04DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 3W 266.7% SR+GBP 9.00 P/L+300.0% ROIA/E 2.29DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + class
Charlie Appleby | Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + code
Charlie Appleby | Flat Turf
N 9W 222.2% SRGBP -1.17 P/L-13.0% ROIA/E 0.83DD 5.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
16:33
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Eastern Counties Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
Imperial SovereignOdds 4/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
4 positive2 negative0 neutral
Class: 28.3% SR / +10.0% ROIDistance: 23.4% SR / -15.7% ROIJockey: 21.7% SR / -19.9% ROICourse: 38.1% SR / +68.7% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
2m | Flat Turf
N 158W 3723.4% SRGBP -24.79 P/L-15.7% ROIA/E 0.87DD 39.50uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Billy Loughnane | Flat Turf
N 23W 521.7% SRGBP -4.57 P/L-19.9% ROIA/E 0.75DD 11.90uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 473W 13428.3% SR+GBP 47.47 P/L+10.0% ROIA/E 1.06DD 42.74uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SR+GBP 8.00 P/L+200.0% ROIA/E 2.17DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
17:08
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Handicap
EducatorOdds 10/11All ridesTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
3 positive2 negative1 neutral
Class: 25.3% SR / -21.9% ROIJockey: 26.7% SR / +8.9% ROICourse: 42.9% SR / +116.7% ROICourse + code: 42.9% SR / +116.7% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 37W 1335.1% SRGBP -1.59 P/L-4.3% ROIA/E 1.10DD 7.71uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Billy Loughnane | Flat Turf
N 15W 426.7% SR+GBP 1.33 P/L+8.9% ROIA/E 0.86DD 7.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 5 | Flat Turf
N 75W 1925.3% SRGBP -16.41 P/L-21.9% ROIA/E 0.90DD 17.05uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf

Strike rate
31 selections9 winners29.03% SRGBP -5.89 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 27.5%19 runners / 3 winnersROI +15.0% | delta +44.9pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
17:38
SandownBritish Stallion Studs EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)
Crazee In HavanaOdds 15/2All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive5 negative1 neutral
Class: 28.3% SR / +10.0% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / +6.3% ROICourse: 16.1% SR / -44.0% ROIJockey: 29.0% SR / -19.0% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 31W 516.1% SRGBP -13.62 P/L-44.0% ROIA/E 0.74DD 14.62uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
5f | Flat Turf
N 92W 2325.0% SR+GBP 5.77 P/L+6.3% ROIA/E 1.03DD 18.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf
N 31W 929.0% SRGBP -5.89 P/L-19.0% ROIA/E 0.88DD 11.97uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 473W 13428.3% SR+GBP 47.47 P/L+10.0% ROIA/E 1.06DD 42.74uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
5f | Flat Turf
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -2.12 P/L-42.5% ROIA/E 0.85DD 4.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 9W 00.0% SRGBP -9.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 9.00uthin sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + jockey
Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP -1.12 P/L-28.1% ROIA/E 1.23DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 28W 414.3% SRGBP -14.38 P/L-51.3% ROIA/E 0.64DD 15.38uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:13
SandownChasemore Farm EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)
See The MountainOdds 28/1All ridesTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
1 positive7 negative1 neutral
Class: 26.0% SR / -29.7% ROITrainer: 33.3% SR / +3.1% ROIJockey: 33.3% SR / -0.6% ROICourse: 11.8% SR / -66.2% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 80W 2328.8% SRGBP -11.85 P/L-14.8% ROIA/E 1.05DD 15.22uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
Andrew Balding | Flat Turf
N 21W 733.3% SR+GBP 0.65 P/L+3.1% ROIA/E 1.19DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf
N 18W 633.3% SRGBP -0.10 P/L-0.6% ROIA/E 0.98DD 9.09uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 3 | Flat Turf
N 77W 2026.0% SRGBP -22.84 P/L-29.7% ROIA/E 0.82DD 30.79uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-60.0% ROIA/E 0.65DD 4.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 3 | Flat Turf
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -1.25 P/L-25.0% ROIA/E 0.53DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
18:48
SandownHwfa Williams - Founder Of Sandown Park Handicap
Edwin HubbleOdds 11/4Main shortlistTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
1 positive6 negative1 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROIDistance: 25.9% SR / -15.5% ROIJockey: 33.3% SR / -0.6% ROICourse: 11.8% SR / -66.2% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m2f | Flat Turf
N 54W 1425.9% SRGBP -8.37 P/L-15.5% ROIA/E 0.93DD 25.57uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf
N 18W 633.3% SRGBP -0.10 P/L-0.6% ROIA/E 0.98DD 9.09uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + distance
1m2f | Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP -0.25 P/L-6.2% ROIA/E 2.12DD 2.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 7W 00.0% SRGBP -7.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 7.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
19:23
SandownBetMGM 80s Day Saturday 29 August Handicap
Desert ShadowOdds 11/4Main shortlist
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
1 positive6 negative2 neutral
Class: 28.3% SR / +10.0% ROIDistance: 25.5% SR / -15.9% ROICourse: 16.1% SR / -44.0% ROIJockey: 29.0% SR / -19.0% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 31W 516.1% SRGBP -13.62 P/L-44.0% ROIA/E 0.74DD 14.62uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
7f | Flat Turf
N 153W 3925.5% SRGBP -24.40 P/L-15.9% ROIA/E 0.95DD 37.30uusable sample
Neutral evidenceTrainer
Saeed bin Suroor | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SRGBP -0.27 P/L-13.6% ROIA/E 1.16DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf
N 31W 929.0% SRGBP -5.89 P/L-19.0% ROIA/E 0.88DD 11.97uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 473W 13428.3% SR+GBP 47.47 P/L+10.0% ROIA/E 1.06DD 42.74uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
7f | Flat Turf
N 4W 00.0% SRGBP -4.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 4.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 9W 00.0% SRGBP -9.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 9.00uthin sample
Neutral evidenceCourse + jockey
Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf
N 4W 125.0% SRGBP -1.12 P/L-28.1% ROIA/E 1.23DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 28W 414.3% SRGBP -14.38 P/L-51.3% ROIA/E 0.64DD 15.38uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
19:58
SandownCommunity Fund For Elmbridge Handicap
Great BlasketOdds 8/13All ridesTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
1 positive7 negative1 neutral
Class: 25.3% SR / -21.9% ROIJockey: 33.3% SR / -0.6% ROICourse: 11.8% SR / -66.2% ROICourse + code: 11.8% SR / -66.2% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Sandown
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 80W 2328.8% SRGBP -11.85 P/L-14.8% ROIA/E 1.05DD 15.22uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
James Owen | Flat Turf
N 7W 228.6% SR+GBP 0.25 P/L+3.6% ROIA/E 1.83DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf
N 18W 633.3% SRGBP -0.10 P/L-0.6% ROIA/E 0.98DD 9.09uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 5 | Flat Turf
N 75W 1925.3% SRGBP -16.41 P/L-21.9% ROIA/E 0.90DD 17.05uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 5W 120.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-60.0% ROIA/E 0.65DD 4.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
Class 5 | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Oisin Murphy | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 17W 211.8% SRGBP -11.25 P/L-66.2% ROIA/E 0.49DD 11.25uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Wayne Lordan | Flat Turf

Strike rate
32 selections7 winners21.88% SRGBP -6.39 P/L
16:50
LeopardstownIrish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden
Wall StreetOdds 6/1Main shortlistTargeted candidate
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
1 positive10 negative2 neutral
Class: 20.0% SR / -46.1% ROIJockey: 26.7% SR / -36.0% ROICourse: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROICourse + code: 33.3% SR / -20.4% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Neutral evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 80W 2328.8% SRGBP -11.85 P/L-14.8% ROIA/E 1.05DD 15.22uusable sample
Neutral evidenceTrainer
A P OBrien | Flat Turf
N 46W 2043.5% SRGBP -0.65 P/L-1.4% ROIA/E 1.07DD 9.89uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Wayne Lordan | Flat Turf
N 15W 426.7% SRGBP -5.40 P/L-36.0% ROIA/E 0.89DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
unknown | Flat Turf
N 65W 1320.0% SRGBP -29.99 P/L-46.1% ROIA/E 0.65DD 35.94uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 2W 150.0% SR+GBP 2.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.08DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer
A P OBrien | Flat Turf
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP -5.53 P/L-69.1% ROIA/E 0.59DD 5.53uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + distance
A P OBrien | 1m | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
unknown | Flat Turf
N 7W 00.0% SRGBP -7.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 7.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + class
A P OBrien | unknown | Flat Turf
N 5W 00.0% SRGBP -5.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 5.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + jockey
Wayne Lordan | Flat Turf
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + trainer + jockey
A P OBrien | Wayne Lordan | Flat Turf
N 3W 00.0% SRGBP -3.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 3.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 12W 433.3% SRGBP -2.44 P/L-20.4% ROIA/E 0.90DD 6.53uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
19:10
LeopardstownCarnival de Leop Handicap
DraiochtOdds unavailableAll rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
1 positive7 negative0 neutral
Class: 19.7% SR / -45.0% ROIDistance: 25.5% SR / -15.9% ROICourse: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROICourse + code: 22.5% SR / -17.9% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
7f | Flat Turf
N 153W 3925.5% SRGBP -24.40 P/L-15.9% ROIA/E 0.95DD 37.30uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Wayne Lordan | Flat Turf
N 32W 721.9% SRGBP -6.39 P/L-20.0% ROIA/E 0.86DD 9.30uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
unknown | Flat Turf
N 208W 4119.7% SRGBP -93.57 P/L-45.0% ROIA/E 0.69DD 94.97uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
7f | Flat Turf
N 15W 320.0% SRGBP -7.08 P/L-47.2% ROIA/E 0.71DD 7.08uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + class
unknown | Flat Turf
N 19W 15.3% SRGBP -15.00 P/L-79.0% ROIA/E 0.27DD 15.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
Wayne Lordan | Flat Turf
N 11W 218.2% SR+GBP 3.10 P/L+28.2% ROIA/E 1.00DD 4.90uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Tom Marquand | Flat Turf

Strike rate
72 selections15 winners20.83% SRGBP -8.10 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
Race typeIdeal threshold >= 22.5%13 runners / 6 winnersROI +78.6% | delta +124.4pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
18:00
LeopardstownBahrain Turf Club Desmond Stakes (Group 3)
Needle MatchOdds 9/2All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, caution leaning
2 positive6 negative0 neutral
Class: 27.3% SR / +18.3% ROIDistance: 20.3% SR / -37.1% ROITrainer: 25.8% SR / -5.2% ROIJockey: 20.8% SR / -11.2% ROI
View metrics
Negative evidenceCourse
Leopardstown
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
1m | Flat Turf
N 153W 3120.3% SRGBP -56.80 P/L-37.1% ROIA/E 0.81DD 57.80uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 132W 3425.8% SRGBP -6.88 P/L-5.2% ROIA/E 0.99DD 24.49uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Tom Marquand | Flat Turf
N 72W 1520.8% SRGBP -8.10 P/L-11.2% ROIA/E 0.84DD 21.10uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 242W 6627.3% SR+GBP 44.36 P/L+18.3% ROIA/E 1.07DD 30.50uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m | Flat Turf
N 8W 225.0% SRGBP -1.57 P/L-19.6% ROIA/E 0.90DD 3.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 1 | Flat Turf
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 7.82 P/L+37.2% ROIA/E 1.18DD 6.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 40W 922.5% SRGBP -7.18 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.85DD 13.36uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard

Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf

Strike rate
49 selections14 winners28.57% SRGBP -8.38 P/L
Research thresholds
Personal context pockets
CourseIdeal threshold >= 20.0%39 runners / 13 winnersROI +25.0% | delta +41.1pts
DistanceIdeal threshold >= 15.0%91 runners / 19 winnersROI +11.6% | delta +27.6pts
Race typeIdeal threshold >= 20.0%10 runners / 3 winnersROI +57.1% | delta +73.2pts
MonthIdeal threshold >= 12.5%103 runners / 28 winnersROI +19.8% | delta +35.9pts
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
15:30
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Woodbridge EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C & D) (EBF Qualifier) (GBB Race)
Fast PerformerOdds unavailableAll ridesTargeted candidateThreshold: Distance, Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
12 positive1 negative0 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROITrainer: 34.6% SR / +17.2% ROIDistance: 25.0% SR / -17.9% ROIJockey: 48.0% SR / +38.0% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
6f | Flat Turf
N 60W 1525.0% SRGBP -10.74 P/L-17.9% ROIA/E 0.97DD 18.11uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 81W 2834.6% SR+GBP 13.93 P/L+17.2% ROIA/E 1.23DD 14.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf
N 25W 1248.0% SR+GBP 9.49 P/L+38.0% ROIA/E 1.50DD 5.28uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
6f | Flat Turf
N 3W 133.3% SR+GBP 1.33 P/L+44.4% ROIA/E 1.13DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 3W 266.7% SR+GBP 9.00 P/L+300.0% ROIA/E 2.29DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + class
William Haggas | Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + jockey
William Haggas | Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + trainer + code
William Haggas | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
16:00
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Cambridge Connections Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
TacticalistOdds 14/1Main shortlistTargeted candidateThreshold: Distance, Month
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Positive historic lean
9 positive0 negative0 neutral
Class: 36.2% SR / +9.0% ROIDistance: 37.7% SR / +32.2% ROIJockey: 48.0% SR / +38.0% ROICourse: 42.9% SR / +116.7% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
7f | Flat Turf
N 61W 2337.7% SR+GBP 19.62 P/L+32.2% ROIA/E 1.26DD 6.00uusable sample
Positive evidenceTrainer
James Owen | Flat Turf
N 7W 228.6% SR+GBP 0.25 P/L+3.6% ROIA/E 1.83DD 3.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceJockey
Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf
N 25W 1248.0% SR+GBP 9.49 P/L+38.0% ROIA/E 1.50DD 5.28uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 152W 5536.2% SR+GBP 13.75 P/L+9.0% ROIA/E 1.14DD 16.26uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + distance
7f | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SR+GBP 7.50 P/L+187.5% ROIA/E 1.84DD 2.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 3W 266.7% SR+GBP 9.00 P/L+300.0% ROIA/E 2.29DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 14W 642.9% SR+GBP 16.33 P/L+116.7% ROIA/E 1.75DD 5.00uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
16:33
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Eastern Counties Handicap (GBBPlus Race)
High FibreOdds 5/2All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed, positive leaning
5 positive3 negative0 neutral
Class: 28.3% SR / +10.0% ROIDistance: 23.4% SR / -15.7% ROITrainer: 19.6% SR / -30.5% ROIJockey: 28.6% SR / -17.1% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Negative evidenceDistance
2m | Flat Turf
N 158W 3723.4% SRGBP -24.79 P/L-15.7% ROIA/E 0.87DD 39.50uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
James Owen | Flat Turf
N 51W 1019.6% SRGBP -15.58 P/L-30.5% ROIA/E 1.07DD 20.12uusable sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf
N 49W 1428.6% SRGBP -8.38 P/L-17.1% ROIA/E 1.04DD 18.26uusable sample
Positive evidenceClass
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 473W 13428.3% SR+GBP 47.47 P/L+10.0% ROIA/E 1.06DD 42.74uusable sample
Positive evidenceCourse + class
Class 4 | Flat Turf
N 4W 250.0% SR+GBP 8.00 P/L+200.0% ROIA/E 2.17DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard
17:08
Newmarket (July)Knight Frank Handicap
RevelioOdds 10/1All rides
Race-specific trendsSettled shortlist evidence for today's race profile
Mixed evidence
4 positive4 negative0 neutral
Class: 21.4% SR / -16.6% ROIDistance: 32.4% SR / +0.6% ROIJockey: 28.6% SR / -17.1% ROICourse: 38.1% SR / +68.7% ROI
View metrics
Positive evidenceCourse
Newmarket (July)
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Positive evidenceDistance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 68W 2232.4% SR+GBP 0.39 P/L+0.6% ROIA/E 1.04DD 9.99uusable sample
Negative evidenceTrainer
Tom Clover | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Negative evidenceJockey
Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf
N 49W 1428.6% SRGBP -8.38 P/L-17.1% ROIA/E 1.04DD 18.26uusable sample
Negative evidenceClass
Class 5 | Flat Turf
N 252W 5421.4% SRGBP -41.88 P/L-16.6% ROIA/E 0.88DD 47.48uusable sample
Negative evidenceCourse + distance
1m4f | Flat Turf
N 1W 00.0% SRGBP -1.00 P/L-100.0% ROIA/E 0.00DD 1.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + jockey
Cieren Fallon | Flat Turf
N 2W 2100.0% SR+GBP 10.00 P/L+500.0% ROIA/E 5.33DD 0.00uthin sample
Positive evidenceCourse + code
Flat Turf
N 21W 838.1% SR+GBP 14.42 P/L+68.7% ROIA/E 1.70DD 5.17uusable sample
Analysis-only; not used by live shortlist or ranking.
Racecard